Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   7.21060e-06          30          67           3           0           0        B2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.05010e-05          12          75          13           0           0        B4.9
GOES Xray  =   1.51259e-07           1           7          83           9           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            15.00       53.00       29.00        3.00        0.00     B5.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4