Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   6.46662e-06          27          70           3           0           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   9.86180e-06          15          74          11           0           0        B4.2
GOES Xray  =   8.98533e-08           1          40          56           3           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            15.75       61.50       21.75        1.00        0.00     B4.7
 
realized                                                                                      B5.8