Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   9.21873e-06          13          79           7           1           0        B3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.35455e-05           4          53          40           3           0        B8.8
GOES Xray  =   1.41221e-07           1           7          79          13           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                             8.75       50.50       35.75        5.00        0.00     B7.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3