Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   2.76807e-05           1          11          79           8           1        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   3.58332e-05           1           1          80          17           1        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   2.59435e-07           1           0          41          50           8        M1.3
est. ISN   =            26           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                             1.75       16.75       58.75       20.25        2.50     C3.8