Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   7.43243e-07          55          44           1           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.55763e-06          61          36           3           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
GOES Xray  =   1.12386e-08          41          59           0           0           0        B1.2
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            52.00       44.75        3.25        0.00        0.00   < B1.0 (no flare)
 
realized                                                                                      B1.2