Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   5.78009e-06          36          62           2           0           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   8.46496e-06          15          78           7           0           0        B3.5
GOES Xray  =   4.54110e-08           9          86           5           0           0        B5.1
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            27.50       66.75        5.75        0.00        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.8