Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   8.46667e-06          18          76           5           1           0        B3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.14335e-05          10          72          18           0           0        B5.8
GOES Xray  =   1.26359e-07           1           9          82           8           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            26           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                             9.00       52.50       34.75        3.75        0.00     B7.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0