Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   1.83848e-05           4          46          47           3           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   2.44244e-05           1          12          79           8           0        C2.4
GOES Xray  =   1.17071e-07           1          17          75           7           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            10.75       30.25       54.00        5.00        0.00     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C7.0