Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   6.22031e-06          31          66           3           0           0        B1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   9.14996e-06          16          77           7           0           0        B3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.74248e-07           1           3          82          14           0        C3.3
est. ISN   =            39           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                            13.25       48.25       33.25        5.00        0.25     B6.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3