Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   3.00324e-06          55          44           1           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
LYRA ch2-4 =   4.77132e-06          49          49           2           0           0        B1.0
GOES Xray  =   5.83616e-08           6          75          18           1           0        B6.0
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                            28.50       53.50       14.75        3.25        0.00     B3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3