Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   9.01429e-06          13          79           7           1           0        B3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.29804e-05           5          58          36           1           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   1.43646e-07           1           7          79          13           0        C2.6
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             6.75       49.50       39.00        4.75        0.00     B8.1
 
realized                                                                                      B7.2