Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   6.49032e-06          28          69           3           0           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   9.75343e-06          15          73          12           0           0        B4.5
GOES Xray  =   1.40265e-07           1           7          78          14           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            13.00       50.75       31.75        4.50        0.00     B5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2