Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   4.72509e-06          47          50           3           0           0        B1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   6.54086e-06          23          73           3           1           0        B2.3
GOES Xray  =   1.27417e-07           1          11          80           8           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                            19.25       44.50       32.25        3.75        0.25     B5.2
 
realized                                                                                      B8.1