Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   2.77726e-05           1          11          79           8           1        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   2.64953e-05           2           7          79          12           0        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.54563e-07           1           6          81          12           0        C2.9
est. ISN   =            58           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             1.25       11.00       76.00       11.25        0.50     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C8.3