Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   6.39204e-06          28          69           3           0           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   8.19245e-06          16          76           8           0           0        B3.6
GOES Xray  =   1.47293e-07           1           5          80          14           0        C2.7
est. ISN   =            55           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                            11.75       43.00       38.00        7.00        0.25     B7.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1