Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   4.78036e-06          46          51           3           0           0        B1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   7.29836e-06          16          78           5           1           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   8.88930e-08           1          41          55           3           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            19.50       57.25       21.50        1.75        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      B8.0