Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   4.38083e-06          52          45           3           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
LYRA ch2-4 =   5.95905e-06          30          69           0           1           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   6.61833e-08           6          69          24           1           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =            37           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                            23.50       58.00       15.50        3.00        0.00     B4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9