Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   8.73945e-06          16          77           6           1           0        B3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.23715e-05           9          63          27           1           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   1.70747e-07           1           6          77          16           0        C3.4
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            11.00       52.50       31.50        5.00        0.00     B6.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8