Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   9.86305e-06          11          78          10           1           0        B4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.37774e-05           3          54          40           3           0        B8.9
GOES Xray  =   1.41545e-07           1           8          78          13           0        C2.6
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            11.00       47.75       36.50        4.75        0.00     B7.4
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5