Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   1.37000e-05          11          66          21           2           0        B6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.82535e-05           5          34          55           6           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   1.47600e-07           1           5          80          14           0        C2.6
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            11.50       39.00       43.50        6.00        0.00     B9.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7