Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   6.28291e-06          30          67           3           0           0        B2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   8.99113e-06          16          77           7           0           0        B3.6
GOES Xray  =   1.58478e-07           1           5          79          15           0        C3.1
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            18.75       50.25       26.75        4.25        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                      B9.5