Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   9.87750e-06          11          78          10           1           0        B4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.46177e-05           4          58          36           2           0        B8.6
GOES Xray  =   1.24074e-07           1          13          79           7           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             6.00       51.00       39.00        4.00        0.00     B8.5
 
realized                                                                                      B4.8