Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   8.00160e-06          22          74           4           0           0        B3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.21664e-05           8          66          25           1           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.89504e-07           1           2          77          18           2        C4.0
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            20.00       46.00       28.75        4.75        0.50     B5.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3