Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   6.08117e-06          32          65           3           0           0        B1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.10552e-05           9          76          15           0           0        B5.7
GOES Xray  =   1.06561e-07           1          26          70           3           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            23.00       52.00       24.25        0.75        0.00     B4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2