Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   2.61792e-05           1          14          79           6           0        C2.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   3.61179e-05           1           2          78          18           1        C4.3
GOES Xray  =   2.20508e-07           1           1          62          33           3        C6.7
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             1.75       17.00       64.25       16.00        1.00     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8