Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   2.63394e-05           1          14          78           7           0        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   3.11069e-05           1           5          73          21           0        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   2.14300e-07           1           1          69          26           3        C5.4
est. ISN   =            42           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             1.75       14.25       68.00       14.75        1.25     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0