SIDC ursigram

3-day-forecast of solar and geomagnetic activity.
Source SIDC (RWC-Belgium)
Frequency Daily
Format Encoded data (ISES)
Mail header SIDC ursigram
SIDC code uge

Latest issue

:Issued: 2024 Jun 14 1230 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/uge
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 40614
GEOALERT BRU166
UGEOA 30512 40614 1230/ 9930/ 
11142 20142 30142 
99999
PLAIN

Solar Active Regions and flaring: Solar flaring activity over the last 24
hours has been at moderate levels, with multiple C-class flares and two
M-class flares. The strongest flares were an M3.2 flare peaking at 16:44
UTC on June 13, associated with NOAA AR 3713 (beta) and an M2.4 flare
peaking at 04:32 UTC on June 14, associated with NOAA AR 3712 (beta-gamma).
There are currently eight active regions on the solar disk, with NOAA AR
3712 (beta-gamma) being the most complex one. NOAA AR 3702 is currently
rotating behind the west limb. NOAA ARs 3714 and 3715 have decayed into
plage. A new, currently unnumbered AR has emerged in the north-west
quadrant, west of NOAA AR 3702. The solar flaring activity is expected to
be at low levels over the next 24 hours, with C-class flares expected and a
chance of M-class flares.

Coronal mass ejections: A partial halo coronal mass ejection (CME) has been
detected around 15:24 UTC on June 13 in SOHO/LASCO-C2 coronagraph imagery.
The CME is mostly directed to the west. The CME source region is believed
to be behind the west limb and no impact on Earth is expected. Analysis of
the faint partial halo CME detected around 23:32 UTC on June 12 in
SOHO/LASCO-C2 suggests a potential Earth-directed component. A glancing
blow from this CME might arrive at Earth early on June 16. No other Earth-
directed CMEs were observed in the available coronagraph imagery.

Coronal holes: An equatorial, positive polarity coronal hole still resides
on the central meridian. The associated high-speed stream is expected to
arrive at Earth starting from June 16.

Solar wind: The Earth is inside the slow solar wind, with speed values
ranging from 297 km/s to 375 km/s and an interplanetary magnetic field
between 3 nT and 5 nT. The Bz component varied between -5 nT and 3 nT. The
interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was predominantly in the positive
sector, changing to negative around 17:00 UTC on June 13 and back to
positive around 03:00 UTC on June 14. Slow solar wind conditions are
expected over the next 24 hours. Enhancements in the solar wind may be
expected starting from June 16 due to the possible glancing blow and high-
speed stream arrivals.

Geomagnetism: Geomagnetic conditions were globally at quiet levels (NOAA Kp
between 0 and 2). Geomagnetic conditions were locally at quiet to unsettled
levels (K BEL between 0 and 3). Mostly quiet to unsettled conditions are
expected over the next 24 hours.

Proton flux levels: The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was below the
threshold level over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain below the
threshold level and decrease over the next 24 hours.

Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the
threshold level in the last 24 hours and is expected to remain so over the
next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence is presently at normal levels and
is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.




TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 160, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.
UGEOI 30512 40614 1230/ 13/// 
1//// 21700 3004/ 4//// 8//// 9//// 
99999
UGEOR 30512 40614 1230/ ///// ///// 
99999
USSPS 31405 14070 16932 39003 48017 2/801 44001 33313 0/103 45005 32121
21302 46022 31410 24418 49003 30610 01209 51041 23624 24415 52015 25214
25410 53002 46117 12302 54002 10713 01205 55008 14610 25404
UMAGF 30503 40614 1004/ 13069 1/009 21122 32011
UMAGF 31523 40614 0000/ 13003 1/004 21101 32220
BT
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