A partial halo coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed in LASCO/C2 coronagraph data from 14:12 UTC on February 12th. The CME is associated to a prominence eruption from behind the north-east limb. Based on the source location, no impact on Earth is expected.

A class M6.4 solar X-ray flare occurred on 2024/02/12 with peak time 03:48UT

A halo or partial-halo CME was detected with the following characteristics: t0 | dt0| pa | da | v | dv | minv| maxv| 2024-02-12T15:45:07.679 | 6.0 | 194 | 360 | 739 | 520 | 167 | 1920 t0: onset time, earliest indication of liftoff dt0: duration of liftoff (hours) pa: principal angle, counterclockwise from North (degrees) da: angular width of the CME (degrees), v: median velocity (km/s) dv: variation (1 sigma) of velocity over the width of the CME mindv: lowest velocity detected within the CME maxdv: highest velocity detected within the CME

The solar flaring activity was at moderate levels, with three M-class flares and several C-class flares recorded in the past 24 hours. The largest flare was an M2.6 flare, peaking at 21:17 on Feb 12, associated with the AR behind the east limb (N28E86). NOAA AR 3576 remains the most complex AR on the visible solar disc and produced two M-class flares: an M1.1 flare, peaking at 13:08 on Feb 12 and an M1.4 flare, peaking at 15:48 on Feb 12. Low flaring activity was also produced by NOAA AR 3583 (beta-gamma). Other regions on the disc have simple configuration of their photospheric magnetic field (alpha and beta) and did not show any significant flaring activity. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at moderate levels over the next 24 hours with likely M-class flaring and a chance for an isolated X-class flare. A partial halo coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed in LASCO/C2 coronagraph data from 14:12 UTC on February 12th. The CME is associated to a prominence eruption from behind the north-east limb. Based on the source location, no impact on Earth is expected. No other Earth-directed CMEs have been detected in the available coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours. Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained above the 10pfu threshold, reaching a maximum value of 120 pfu as measured by GOES-18 at 06:15 UTC on February 13. The greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux is expected to remain at minor radiation storm levels on Feb 13th and, in case of no new triggers, decline towards nominal levels by the end of Feb 14th. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by the GOES-16 satellite, remained below the 1000 pfu threshold. It is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24 hour electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain at these levels for the following 24 hours.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet both globally and locally (NOAA-Kp and K-BEL: 1 to 2) during the last 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain mostly at quiet levels, with a chance of reaching active and minor storm levels on Feb 13 - 14 due to potential CMEs arrivals. Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) were reflecting near slow solar wind conditions. The solar wind speed decreased from values around 530 km/s to 430 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude was below 6 nT. The southward component of the interplanetary magnetic field fluctuated between -4 nT and 4 nT. The magnetic field orientation was predominantly in the negative sector (field directed towards the Sun). Similar solar wind conditions are expected, with a possibility of a week enhancement on Feb 13 - Feb 14 due to the anticipated arrival of multiple CMEs from Feb 9th and Feb 10th.